Scars of Mirrodin Values

As a new set rotation looms at the end of the summer, it’s worth taking a look at what I’ve learned about post-rotation values from the last block to rotate out: Scars of Mirrodin. I tracked the value of any card selling for over a dollar at ChannelFireball.com over the last year to see what happens to valuable cards. Channel Fireball is not the cheapest place to buy cards usually, but I find their values are more reasonable than StarCityGames, and it gives me something to compare to the other prices when I buy off of TCGPlayer.com. Obviously, your mileage may vary, but by using a single site that is fairly attuned to the market, I can draw some conclusions.

Scars of Mirrodin

First, let’s look at the real money cards, those over $10:

MOX OPAL

Last summer, as its time in Standard was waning, you could get this for $10, but just before rotation in September it was up to $12. By the end of year, well out of Standard, it was up to $15. It has continued to climb and is now worth $40. Ok. This is a mythic that was originally quite hyped (I sold one for $20 early on), but did not see a lot of Standard play. Now, I believe it is an integral part of the Modern Affinity deck. So, if you waited for this to go down after rotation, you really missed the boat.

WURMCOIL ENGINE

There’s a similar story for Wurmcoil Engine, although not quite so dramatic. This was played in Standard pretty regularly, as well as in some other formats, but was still only $8 last summer. It too rose as rotation neared, to $10 where it stayed until just recently when it started moving up again and is now at $15. So, instead of coming down in price, as we usually expect with rotation, this one has essentially doubled over the past year. Too bad, as I like this card – apparently so do the tournament players, and perhaps some of the richer casual crowd as well.

ELSPETH TIREL

Planeswalkers tend to hold their value and never dip too low even after their time in Standard, but the new Elspeth was down to $8 last summer. Right before and after rotation, it even dropped to $7, and that’s when you should have bought her. Now she’s up to $12, and unless she gets a Core Set reprint someday, I don’t expect that price to come down – how sad.

SWORD OF BODY AND MIND PLATINUM EMPERION BLACKCLEAVE CLIFFS ETCHED CHAMPION VENSER, THE SOJOURNER SKITHIRYX, THE BLIGHT DRAGON ASCETICISM

At the next level, we have four more mythics and three rares in the $5-$10 range, but not all their stories are the same. Only the Sword and Venser are cheaper now than they were last summer ($10 and $6), and Venser got a reprint in a Duel Deck (now $8 and $5). Venser was as low as $4 at one point after rotation. The Platinum Emperion has more than doubled in the past year ($3 to $8), but it only went up slightly after rotation. The Etched Champion has now found a home in a Modern deck, I believe, so it’s steadily climbed from $2 last summer to $3 post-rotation and $6 this summer (wow – that’s a tripling in price). Skithiryx did dip slightly, from $3.50 to $3 after rotation, but is now climbing and is at $6 now. And Asceticism, which I had really hoped would come down, instead held steady and is now climbing, from $3 to $5. Finally, Blackcleave Cliffs has remained relatively stable around the $5 range.

7 of the 14 remaining cards with any real value (i.e. priced over $1) did see a small dip after rotation, although among those, only the dual lands have seen a permanent lower price, with the rest either maintaining their value or increasing slightly over the year.

Mirrodin Besieged

It’s a similar tale with the next set, although fewer cards since the set was smaller.

SWORD OF FEAST AND FAMINE

This Sword did dip after rotation, from $18 at the height of summer Standard to $12, but recently it’s jumped up to $24, so hopefully you got yours already if you wanted one.

TEZZERET, AGENT OF BOLAS

This planeswalker didn’t make much of a splash in Standard, but I think it’s seeing some play in Legacy, and planeswalkers don’t usually dip too low. It was already at it’s lowest last summer, and has only risen since then, to $8 around rotation time, and again recently spiking at $15. Drat – I was really hoping this would dip a couple more dollars, but instead… ouch!

THRUN, THE LAST TROLL

Here’s a clear tournament card that did do a post-rotation dip, from $6 in the summer down to $4 by the end of the year, but now it’s climbed all the way up to $10.

BLIGHTSTEEL COLOSSUS

Likewise with the Blightsteel Colossus: a little dip (from $6 to $5) and now up to $12.

HERO OF BLADEHOLD CONSECRATED SPHINX GREEN SUN'S ZENITH INKMOTH NEXUS DARKSTEEL PLATE MASSACRE WURM

Of this next batch, two have decreased in price since last summer, The Hero of Bladehold ($8 to $6) and the Green Sun’s Zenith ($10 to $5), both of which were solid Standard cards and still see some Modern play, I believe. The Hero even dipped lower right after rotation (to $4). The others basically held steady until hitting a recent price bump – the Consecrated Sphinx dipped (from $6 to $4) briefly and is now spiking at $8; the Inkmoth Nexus hit its low of $4 and hovered nearby until recently hitting $8; The Wurm and the Plate were already at $3 last summer, but have slowly climbed to $5.

Of the remaining 8 valuable cards, they pretty much all saw a very slight dip post-rotation and have held steady from one summer to the next.

Mirrodin Besieged

The third set actually had more value cards than the second set.

KARN LIBERATED

Not only is Karn a beloved planeswalker, but he’s a win condition in a Modern deck, so his price not only did not dip, from its $15 last summer, but has now almost doubled, to $28. My only hope for getting one now is somehow getting a Duel Deck with him in it at MSRP (yeah, right).

BATTERSKULL

A powerful standard card that continues to be played in other formats means no real dip (Ok, it did dip from $8 to $7 briefly) and is now double at $15.

SWORD OF WAR AND PEACE

Here’s one that actually has come down. After rotation it took a big hit, from $20 to $12, although it has recently climbed back to $15.

ELESH NORN, GRAND CENOBITE

I had hoped to collect all the Praetors from this set, but then Elesh Norn became a win condition in some tournament decks. It did go down after rotation, from $15 to $10, but now it’s back to $15. The other praetors have also risen in price, I might add.

PHYREXIAN OBLITERATOR

If you watched the market carefully, then you had your chance at the end of the year. From $12 in the summer, Phyrexian Obliterator went down to $6 in the winter – hopefully you got yours then, because they’re now up to $15.

VORINCLEX, VOICE OF HUNGER SPELLSKITE JIN-GITAXIAS, CORE AUGUR BIRTHING POD SHEOLDRED, WHISPERING ONE

In this next level, all of the cards have seen a slow rise, mostly doubling price over the year, although Spellskite quadrupled, from $2.50 to $10. A couple of these are seeing play in Modern tournaments, but the Praetors must be due to casual appeal.

Conclusion

For the most part, don’t expect valuable cards to lose too much value after rotation, and if you think you’re going to want them, it’s probably better to get them sooner rather than later. It may be that lands do come down after they rotate out of standard, although don’t expect that with the Ravnica duals (it didn’t happen with the Zendikar fetchlands either).

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: